Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.659740 0.853489 1.072389 1.334907 1.638097 1.974337 2.372460
2025-04-06 0.400879 0.641078 0.948911 1.357923 1.873029 2.487055 3.260948
2025-04-13 0.226226 0.463095 0.811040 1.321823 2.016826 2.896691 4.061573
2025-04-20 0.132475 0.355166 0.730416 1.333316 2.208602 3.370724 4.967628
2025-04-27 0.075654 0.276006 0.665424 1.346454 2.393034 3.838994 5.886486
2025-05-04 0.036227 0.200208 0.578427 1.303102 2.482453 4.175584 6.641291
2025-05-11 0.014633 0.141937 0.499637 1.252303 2.546456 4.471120 7.345142
2025-05-18 0.005857 0.109351 0.460139 1.259370 2.695325 4.889714 8.228837
2025-05-25 0.001309 0.076972 0.403947 1.220840 2.760773 5.182673 8.940577
2025-06-01 0.000363 0.066402 0.402206 1.289750 3.010318 5.760716 10.074923
2025-06-08 0.000010 0.050243 0.373249 1.294062 3.144622 6.164112 10.964755
2025-06-15 NaN 0.046453 0.385887 1.392280 3.451664 6.845927 12.277917
2025-06-22 NaN 0.039434 0.383030 1.456712 3.706013 7.461554 13.522060
2025-06-29 NaN 0.030785 0.366568 1.485637 3.896172 7.981965 14.639079
2025-07-06 NaN 0.020108 0.327544 1.449541 3.958842 8.297392 15.455401
2025-07-13 NaN 0.014495 0.309094 1.462973 4.116742 8.771985 16.522003
2025-07-20 NaN 0.010255 0.292530 1.477589 4.276162 9.251951 17.604598
2025-07-27 NaN 0.005573 0.258168 1.431705 4.307639 9.516218 18.358473
2025-08-03 NaN 0.002535 0.224532 1.377681 4.315527 9.737659 19.047500
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001387 0.210959 1.385304 4.453921 10.186208 20.099486
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000437 0.185573 1.344219 4.481620 10.440864 20.848170
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000325 0.191006 1.417780 4.768651 11.158931 22.345169
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000097 0.179142 1.422391 4.899365 11.602013 23.408808